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Roger Cohen had a piece on Paul in the NY Times in part on the more serious issue of confusing correlation with causation.


One quote Americans may relate to:
According to the S.B.I., if a team from the old National Football League won the Super Bowl, typically played in late January, the stock market would go up for the rest of the year. From 1967 (the first Super Bowl) through 1997, it was uncannily accurate, correctly predicting the broad market trend for 28 of the 31 years. But after 1997, the S.B.I. slumped and was 0 for 4 in the following four years.

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